top of page

Artificial Intelligence Predicts Trump’s Win in 2024 Elections

In the midst of the 2024 US presidential race, the Next News team asked the AI: “Who is more likely to win, Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?” After an in-depth analysis of the available data from opinion polls and the performance of the two election campaigns, the prediction came out that Trump has a greater chance of winning, despite the challenges he faces.
الذكاء الصناعي يتوقع فوز ترامب في انتخابات 2024

The Electoral College.. Trump’s Winning Card

In the American electoral system, winning the popular vote is not the goal, but securing 270 votes in the Electoral College. So far, national opinion polls show a slight lead for Harris, but that does not necessarily reflect what will happen in the swing states, where the real battle is taking place.


The data indicates that Trump enjoys strong support in crucial states such as Florida, Georgia, and Ohio, which may tilt in his favor on Election Day. These states are not only of great electoral weight, but are also known for their tendency to switch between the two parties from one election cycle to another, making them key to success for any candidate.


The Power of Loyalty in Trump’s Base


One of Trump’s most notable strengths is his loyal base. Despite his many legal troubles, these problems have not significantly affected his supporters’ support. This strong support gives him an additional advantage, especially in southern and western states that traditionally remain loyal to the Republican Party.


Moreover, polls suggest that the enthusiasm of Trump’s supporters may exceed that of Harris’s campaign. In previous elections, this enthusiasm played a major role in boosting voter turnout, a factor that could be decisive in the upcoming elections.


Challenges for Harris

Despite Harris’ slight lead in some national polls, her campaign is struggling to mobilize voters effectively, especially in swing states. Many independent voters are also undecided, making her position uncertain.


Elections in the United States are also affected by economic and social factors, such as inflation and foreign policy, which may make voters more inclined toward change. If Harris can’t deliver a strong message on these issues, she could lose out to Trump, who promotes “America First” policies that remain popular among a broad swath of voters.


AI: Trump most likely to win

According to these data, AI sees Donald Trump as the most likely to win. His success depends on achieving superiority in swing states and securing a majority in the Electoral College. But the race is still open, with the final weeks before the election being crucial, especially with the possibility of unexpected events or changes in voters’ moods.


We’ll have to wait until Election Day to see if this prediction will come true, but current indications suggest that Trump, with his solid base and electoral experience, could return to the White House for a second time.


---


Sources:

Financial Times reports on recent polls and Harris’ lead in the popular vote.

The Hill’s analysis of Trump’s performance in swing states and the impact of his base’s support.

Comments

Rated 0 out of 5 stars.
No ratings yet

Add a rating
bottom of page